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Why Stocks Skyrocketed After the Election

11/05/2020

  Talk about a crazy election night. On Tuesday night, the voting swung from Biden to Trump and back to Biden. We witnessed the fleeting thrill of victory… and the agony of defeat. The election betting odds saw those who bet on Trump suddenly making millions, and then hours later they were wiped out. The […]

2020: A Turning Point in America?

10/29/2020

“The outlook for stocks, gold and the dollar is positive as we enter 2020 but beware of a ‘black swan’ event that could derail the longest-running bull market in history.” — January 2020 prediction in Forecasts & Strategies. My prediction of a “black swan” event has generated a lot of interest by investors and the media this […]

Caught on Video: Kevin ‘The Shark’ O’Leary Takes on Whole Foods’ John Mackey

10/22/2020

“Business has only one purpose, to make money. If you want a friend, buy a dog!” — Kevin O’Leary Which should business leaders and entrepreneurs focus on: the bottom line (profits) or achieving a higher purpose — the good, the beautiful, the heroic? The best debate on this subject was held at last year’s FreedomFest between John Mackey, the CEO […]

Wall Street Catches Auction Fever — You Can Profit

10/15/2020

“Auction theory is one of the economics’ biggest success stories.” — Paul Klemperer, Oxford University Earlier this year, in my class at Chapman University, called “EconoPower,” I auctioned off a jar of pennies to my students.  They were to bid on the jar, making sure they didn’t offer to pay more than the pennies in […]

The Economy is Doing Better Than We Thought

10/08/2020

“GDP is like an X-ray of the economy; Gross Output (GO) is like a CAT-scan!” — Steve Forbes The Wall Street Journal ran my op-ed over the past weekend with the headline: “New Stat Augurs Well for Covid Recovery: Gross output measures business confidence better than GDP. It’s fallen less than in past recessions.” This is the third time […]

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Danger Ahead: Will We Have a ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery or a ‘K-Disaster’?

10/01/2020

In last night’s political debate, an issue came up. Will we have a “V-shaped” recovery or a ‘K-disaster’? President Donald Trump said that he expects the economy to continue to recover, and for the stock market to head higher, resulting in his reelection. It may be wishful thinking. His opponent, former Vice President Joe Biden, […]

This One Investment Survived the Bloodbath

09/24/2020

  Stocks have been down almost every day in September, the toughest month for investors. The market is down 10% this month. There are plenty of reasons. The markets hate uncertainty, and we’re getting plenty of uncertainty as we head into the November elections. If Trump and the Republicans hold onto controlling the White House and the Senate, […]

Love the Market You Fear the Most

09/17/2020

I will be teaching a new class at Chapman University during the coming semester called “Puzzles and Paradoxes in Economics and Finance.” One example of a financial puzzle is known as the “Greed-Fear” Paradox. It seems that investors are schizophrenic when it comes to the U.S. tech sector. According to the Bank of America’s latest global fund […]

Beware of Panic Attacks

09/10/2020

One of the greatest truths on Wall Street was confirmed in the past few days: “The stock market takes the stairs up and the elevator down.” September is famous for being the riskiest time of the year for investors, even more so than October and, so far, it has lived up to its reputation. After a blistering […]

Why Isn’t Tesla in the S&P 500?! Better to Invest in My Favorite Active Mutual Fund

09/03/2020

“You can’t beat an index fund if you are trying to beat the market at all times, and most people are trying to do that.” — Ron Baron Ever since John Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group of Funds, created the first index fund, investors have debated whether they should invest in a no-load, low-cost index fund […]

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