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Away We GO: Trump Tax Cuts Unleash an Investment Boom in America


Now we know why the stock market took off in 2017. Today, the federal government released a HUGE number for fourth-quarter 2017 gross output (GO), which I regard as the top line in national income accounting to measure spending at all stages of production. The latest GO data show that the U.S. economy is booming, […]

1947: Making a Mark in Life


“Bliss was it in that dawn to be alive, But to be young was very heaven!” — William Wordsworth I’ve always believed that dates are important. It turns out that I celebrated my 40th birthday on the day of the stock market crash, October 19, 1987, six weeks after I forewarned my Forecasts & Strategies subscribers […]

The Austrian Indicator: What Is It Predicting Now?


I presented two papers on Austrian economics at the annual Association of Private Enterprise Education (APEE) last week. One was called “Squaring the Mises Circle: How to Integrate Austrian Economics in the Classroom and Mainstream Textbooks.” The other was entitled, “Measuring Hayek’s Triangle: Gross Output as the Top Line in National Income Accounting and a Leading Indicator.” In […]

Bear Market Alert! This TRUMPet Gives an Uncertain Sound


For if the TRUMPet give an uncertain sound, who shall prepare himself to the battle?” — 1 Corinthians 14:8 The Trump administration has given new meaning to “March Madness.” I warned last week that the only thing that could kill the bull market on Wall Street was bad public policy. The market had gotten ahead of itself at […]

Can You Predict the Future? Yes! (When It Counts)


“Without vision, the people perish.” — Proverbs 29:18 “A forecast is never so useful as when it warns men of a crisis.” — Bertrand de Jouvenel  Last week, at the 20th anniversary of Investment U in Las Vegas, I debated Alex Green, the investment director of the Oxford Club and a longtime friend, on the ever-important subject, “Can You Predict the Future?” I […]

Supply-Side Victory in the White House: Is a Capital Gains Tax Cut Next?


“Free-market capitalism is the best path to prosperity.” — Larry Kudlow The battle over the future of the economy and Wall Street can claim a new victory with the appointment of supply-sider, free-trader and longtime friend Larry Kudlow as President Trump’s chief economic advisor. He will head up the National Economic Council, replacing Gary Cohn.  Mark Skousen and Larry Kudlow […]

Trump’s Trade War Stalls Bull Market: Will it Get Worse?


“The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate but at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists of tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups.” – Henry Hazlitt, “Economics in One Lesson” Too bad President Trump has apparently not read Henry Hazlitt’s classic […]

You Will Never Run out of Money Following This Man’s Advice


“There is much revenue in economy, and no revenue is sufficient without economy.” — Benjamin Franklin I have not retired yet — I’m still teaching economics, writing an investment newsletter and speaking at conferences — but like many of you I’m concerned about making sure my wife and I have enough to live on when and […]

Rising Rates, Growing Deficit: Are We Headed for a Bear Market?


Billionaire Business Leaders Say Profit-Making Is Bad in Health Care “Health care costs are a hungry tapeworm on the American economy.” — Warren Buffett Warren Buffett (Berkshire Hathaway), Jeff Bezos (Amazon) and Jamie Dimon (JP Morgan Chase) announced Jan. 30 that they are creating a new health care company that will be more universal and […]

Should You Be 100% Invested or 100% in Cash?


“How many insecurities traded on Wall Street today?” — Franz Pick “Owners of sound securities should never panic.” — J. Paul Getty Last Friday at the Orlando MoneyShow, I debated market timer Mike Turner on the subject, “The Economist vs the Mathematician: Buy-and-Hold vs Market Timing.” There couldn’t be a bigger difference between our two investment philosophies. Even though the […]

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