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Surprise, Surprise. Higher Dividends = Higher Earnings Growth!
I had lunch yesterday with Rob Arnott, founder and CEO of Research Affiliates, a California-based investment management firm. The company manages more than $170 billion. Mr. Arnott is also a financial wizard, having written several award-winning academic papers for the Journal of Portfolio Management. He is famous for inventing fundamental stock index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), […]
Can We Still Make Big Profits in the Stock Market? Yes, We Can!
“Asset prices for stocks and bonds are high. The golden age of investing is over.” — Robert Shiller, author, “Irrational Exuberance” (2015 edition) I was pleased to receive an enthusiastic response from subscribers at the recent Orlando MoneyShow. Many people expressed appreciation for our steady gains over the years with my Forecasts & Strategies investment […]
Look, Mom, No Traffic Jams!
“There is great virtue in the original concept of users-pay/users-benefit.” –Robert Poole, Jr., Nation’s #1 Transportation Expert One of the consequences of Keynesian economics is the gradual decline in capital investment, especially in infrastructure, in the United States. The late, great management guru Peter Drucker blamed Keynesian thinking for an unhealthy anti-saving mentality, causing “undersaving […]
Apple’s Success Confirms the Great Man Theory and Say’s Law
“If I asked customers what they wanted, they would have said, a faster horse.” — Henry Ford This week in my unique course, “Libertarian CEOs” at Chapman University, we talked about Friedrich Wieser’s “great man” theory. The Austrian economist argued that all great companies achieve success because a single creative individual leads the way. The late […]
Why the Latest B2B and GDP Data Are Bullish!
Last Friday, the feds released the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the fourth quarter and reported that economic growth cooled to a 2.6% annualized rate, much slower than the 5% rate reported for the third quarter. I’m not surprised by the slowdown. A week earlier, the government had released its Gross […]
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Why I Hate Taxes and Tax Collectors!
“Taxation is the price we pay for failing to build a civilized society. The higher the tax level, the greater the failure.” — Mark & Jo Ann Skousen, “Persuasion vs. Force” We constantly hear about the need for tax reform but never really get it. The U.S. Tax Code gets more complex every year, whether it’s […]
GO Faster than GDP
U.S. economic activity advanced 5.2% in third quarter 2014, according to U.S. government economic data released today. Gross Output (GO), a broadened measure of U.S. economic activity published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), grew to nearly $31.3 trillion in the third quarter of 2014, a 5.2% jump in real terms (annualized). The GO […]
Wild Ride on Wall Street: When Will it Recover?
Wall Street is going through a period of adjustment with the collapse in oil prices and threat of rising interest rates. But I don’t think the latest instability will derail the bull market in stocks. I’m still 100% invested. Gold is also rallying, but it’s hard to say how long it will last. Certainly, gold […]
The World’s Most Dangerous Tax
I attended the American Economic Association (AEA) meetings in Boston during the past weekend, and the session on possible “secular stagnation” in the United States was standing-room only. Prominent economists, including Larry Summers, former Secretary of the Treasury and president of Harvard University, pointed to several negative trends in America: lower productivity, decline in new […]
Incredible Prediction for 2015
“A wise trader never ceases to study general conditions.” — Jesse Livermore Every July at FreedomFest, we bring in the best forecasters in the business to tell us what to expect in the next year. For example, in 2007, right before the financial crisis, three of our top speakers — Peter Schiff, Bert Dohmen and […]
