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The #1 Secret to Predicting the Future on Wall Street

06/09/2016

“Looking at earnings, dividends and P/E ratios in order to predict future stock prices are all a waste of time.”  — Bert Dohmen In his latest issue of the Wellington Letter, financial guru Bert Dohmen warned that “fundamental” analysis doesn’t always work, particularly when using price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios to choose which stocks to buy. Dohmen […]

Imagine No-Cost Medical Care, Education, Food and Even Money

06/02/2016

“The problem is that pretty soon you run out of other people’s money.” — Margaret Thatcher Sen. Bernie Sanders, the self-proclaimed “democratic socialist” presidential candidate, is attracting big crowds and millions of votes by promising taxpayer-funded college education, universal healthcare and a minimum wage that will instantly end poverty. Never mind how much these “free” […]

#1 Predictor of the Stock Market Says….

05/26/2016

“The Fed has been responsible for every recession in the past 100 years.” — Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize-winning economist I don’t agree with Paul Krugman on many things, but he’s right when he says that the Fed is culpable for causing the ups and downs of the business cycle in the United States. Milton Friedman […]

GO for the Gold… and the Silver

05/19/2016

I recently appeared for the first time on Larry Kudlow’s nationwide radio program on ABC, and I talked about alternative measures to gross domestic product (GDP). I see the Economist also had a cover story entitled “How to Measure Prosperity.” First-quarter GDP data came out last week, indicating a small increase in economic growth. But I noticed that […]

Is Free College Education a Good Idea?

05/12/2016

“In a highly competitive global economy, we need the best-educated workforce in the world. It’s time we made college tuition free at public colleges and universities.” — Bernie Sanders Sen. Bernie Sanders’ policy recommendation sounds so inviting, to make college tuition free just like public high schools. He also believes that such an action would create […]

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Good-Bye High-Tax New Jersey, Hello Tax-Free Florida!

05/05/2016

“Any one may so arrange his affairs that his taxes shall be as low as possible; he is not bound to choose that pattern which will best pay the Treasury; there is not even a patriotic duty to increase one’s taxes.”  — Supreme Court Justice Learned Hand (1934) Last Sunday, the New York Times ran […]

‘I Work For Food’ — You’re Hired!

04/28/2016

“No country can sustain, in idleness, more than a small percentage of its numbers. The great majority must labor at something productive.”  — Abraham Lincoln (1859) Is there any solution to poverty, or are we destined to witness a permanent welfare class in America? Progress was made with the passage of the Welfare Reform Act […]

New GO Data Points to Recession ahead, but No Bear Market

04/21/2016

My gross output (GO) statistic for the fourth quarter was released today by the federal government. Here’s what it showed: U.S. economic activity continued to slow dramatically in fourth-quarter 2015, threatening recession. As a whole, the growth rate of the economy was anemic, almost flat, for 2015. This is why the Fed has aggressively been pumping new money […]

Who Can Beat the Market? Lessons from the Hulbert Financial Digest

04/14/2016

“It is very difficult to beat the market over the long term. Not just very difficult, but extremely so.” — Mark Hulbert, editor, Hulbert Financial Digest Mark Hulbert started his Hulbert Financial Digest in 1980, the same year I started my own Forecasts & Strategies — 36 years ago. The purpose of his newsletter was to monitor […]

Don’t Look Now, But Gold Is Moving Higher

04/07/2016

Wall Street has struggled this week, but gold is moving higher. Today gold is up $12 to $1,238 an ounce, and gold stocks are sharply higher. I gave a strong sell signal for gold back in December 2011, when gold was approaching $2,000 an ounce. It was a good call. Gold fell 50% in the […]

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