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Can You Predict the Future? Yes! (When It Counts)
“Without vision, the people perish.” — Proverbs 29:18 “A forecast is never so useful as when it warns men of a crisis.” — Bertrand de Jouvenel Last week, at the 20th anniversary of Investment U in Las Vegas, I debated Alex Green, the investment director of the Oxford Club and a longtime friend, on the ever-important subject, “Can You Predict the Future?” I […]
Supply-Side Victory in the White House: Is a Capital Gains Tax Cut Next?
“Free-market capitalism is the best path to prosperity.” — Larry Kudlow The battle over the future of the economy and Wall Street can claim a new victory with the appointment of supply-sider, free-trader and longtime friend Larry Kudlow as President Trump’s chief economic advisor. He will head up the National Economic Council, replacing Gary Cohn. Mark Skousen and Larry Kudlow […]
Trump’s Trade War Stalls Bull Market: Will it Get Worse?
“The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate but at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists of tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups.” – Henry Hazlitt, “Economics in One Lesson” Too bad President Trump has apparently not read Henry Hazlitt’s classic […]
You Will Never Run out of Money Following This Man’s Advice
“There is much revenue in economy, and no revenue is sufficient without economy.” — Benjamin Franklin I have not retired yet — I’m still teaching economics, writing an investment newsletter and speaking at conferences — but like many of you I’m concerned about making sure my wife and I have enough to live on when and […]
Rising Rates, Growing Deficit: Are We Headed for a Bear Market?
Billionaire Business Leaders Say Profit-Making Is Bad in Health Care “Health care costs are a hungry tapeworm on the American economy.” — Warren Buffett Warren Buffett (Berkshire Hathaway), Jeff Bezos (Amazon) and Jamie Dimon (JP Morgan Chase) announced Jan. 30 that they are creating a new health care company that will be more universal and […]
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Should You Be 100% Invested or 100% in Cash?
“How many insecurities traded on Wall Street today?” — Franz Pick “Owners of sound securities should never panic.” — J. Paul Getty Last Friday at the Orlando MoneyShow, I debated market timer Mike Turner on the subject, “The Economist vs the Mathematician: Buy-and-Hold vs Market Timing.” There couldn’t be a bigger difference between our two investment philosophies. Even though the […]
Offering Three Vital Lessons from Last Week’s Crash
“Wall Street exaggerates everything; the business of investing is not the same as investing in a business.” — “Maxims of Wall Street,” p. 143. When the stock market fell out of bed suddenly in the past week after years of going up almost every day (the indexes rose every month in 2017, an historic first), […]
Free Trade Is Fair Trade
“No country was ever ruined by trade.” — Benjamin Franklin Free trade is coming under attack, once again. It may be on President Trump’s agenda for 2018. Corporate tax cuts and deregulation are all positive steps to renewing America’s economy. However, the “America First” doctrine may take us down a dangerous road of protectionism. As […]
Japan is Back — Nikkei Hits 26-Year High, and Yet…
Japanese stocks hit a 26-year high last week to triple in value since hitting bottom in March 2009. See the chart below. But here’s the real story: The Nikkei Index is still 40% below its all-time high of 39,000, which was hit at the end of December 1989. It took nearly 20 years before the Japanese stock […]
Will a Government Shutdown Hurt Stocks?
“No man’s life, liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session.” — Judge Gideon Tucker (1866) Once again, it’s possible that the federal government will shut down many of its operations on midnight Friday because the Treasury has run out of money. Talk about a libertarian’s dream! Yet Wall Street doesn’t seem very concerned. Stocks […]
