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Republicans Trump Democrats, Stocks Soar
You probably think my headline is crazy, but it’s true. The media is reporting that irascible Donald Trump was dumped, and sleepy Joe Biden is the president-elect. Then why did stocks soar after the election, given that Biden and the Democrats hate investors and want to cancel the Trump tax cut? The answer to this puzzle was explained by John […]
Why Stocks Skyrocketed After the Election
Talk about a crazy election night. On Tuesday night, the voting swung from Biden to Trump and back to Biden. We witnessed the fleeting thrill of victory… and the agony of defeat. The election betting odds saw those who bet on Trump suddenly making millions, and then hours later they were wiped out. The […]
2020: A Turning Point in America?
“The outlook for stocks, gold and the dollar is positive as we enter 2020 but beware of a ‘black swan’ event that could derail the longest-running bull market in history.” — January 2020 prediction in Forecasts & Strategies. My prediction of a “black swan” event has generated a lot of interest by investors and the media this […]
Caught on Video: Kevin ‘The Shark’ O’Leary Takes on Whole Foods’ John Mackey
“Business has only one purpose, to make money. If you want a friend, buy a dog!” — Kevin O’Leary Which should business leaders and entrepreneurs focus on: the bottom line (profits) or achieving a higher purpose — the good, the beautiful, the heroic? The best debate on this subject was held at last year’s FreedomFest between John Mackey, the CEO […]
Wall Street Catches Auction Fever — You Can Profit
“Auction theory is one of the economics’ biggest success stories.” — Paul Klemperer, Oxford University Earlier this year, in my class at Chapman University, called “EconoPower,” I auctioned off a jar of pennies to my students. They were to bid on the jar, making sure they didn’t offer to pay more than the pennies in […]
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The Economy is Doing Better Than We Thought
“GDP is like an X-ray of the economy; Gross Output (GO) is like a CAT-scan!” — Steve Forbes The Wall Street Journal ran my op-ed over the past weekend with the headline: “New Stat Augurs Well for Covid Recovery: Gross output measures business confidence better than GDP. It’s fallen less than in past recessions.” This is the third time […]
Danger Ahead: Will We Have a ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery or a ‘K-Disaster’?
In last night’s political debate, an issue came up. Will we have a “V-shaped” recovery or a ‘K-disaster’? President Donald Trump said that he expects the economy to continue to recover, and for the stock market to head higher, resulting in his reelection. It may be wishful thinking. His opponent, former Vice President Joe Biden, […]
This One Investment Survived the Bloodbath
Stocks have been down almost every day in September, the toughest month for investors. The market is down 10% this month. There are plenty of reasons. The markets hate uncertainty, and we’re getting plenty of uncertainty as we head into the November elections. If Trump and the Republicans hold onto controlling the White House and the Senate, […]
Love the Market You Fear the Most
I will be teaching a new class at Chapman University during the coming semester called “Puzzles and Paradoxes in Economics and Finance.” One example of a financial puzzle is known as the “Greed-Fear” Paradox. It seems that investors are schizophrenic when it comes to the U.S. tech sector. According to the Bank of America’s latest global fund […]
Beware of Panic Attacks
One of the greatest truths on Wall Street was confirmed in the past few days: “The stock market takes the stairs up and the elevator down.” September is famous for being the riskiest time of the year for investors, even more so than October and, so far, it has lived up to its reputation. After a blistering […]
