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Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Aug 30, 2010
Wall Street has been in a bear market so long that some pundits are predicting the end of equities as an investment. The doom and gloom was palpable at the MoneyShow in San Francisco, Aug. 19-21. However, financial journalist Roger Lowenstein noted in yesterday's New York Times magazine that stocks now are selling at a reasonable 12 times earnings. In other words, while Treasuries are paying out a measly 3% a year in dividends, the average S&P 500 stock is paying out 8.5% in earnings.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Aug 23, 2010
The New York Times> ran a front-page story yesterday reporting that individual investors are leaving Wall Street in droves. Investors are withdrawing from their 401(k)s and mutual funds in record numbers. Americans are fed up with Wall Street, are worried about their jobs, and don't think Washington cares. No wonder the Dow is struggling this year.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Aug 16, 2010
After the Federal Reserve officially recognized the slowdown in the U.S. economy, Wall Street fell sharply, and many of our growth stocks and funds declined in sympathy.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Aug 09, 2010
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has eked out a 2% gain for 2010, but our Forecasts & Strategies ideal portfolio has gained an average 5.6%.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Jul 19, 2010
My long-time friend and superbear Bert Dohmen, editor of the Wellington Letter, talks about a "Killer Wave" that will strike Wall Street this year. What would cause another bear market?
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Jul 06, 2010
I hope you all had a good 4th of July. Jo Ann and I were in the nations capital and spoke on Benjamin Franklin and our role in completing his famous Autobiography ( (click here). Regarding the 4th, Franklin said, "When I read in all the papers of the extravagant rejoices every 4th of July, the day on which we signed the declaration of independence, thereby hazarding our lives and fortunes, I am convinced of the universal satisfaction of the people with the revolution and its grand principles."
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Jun 28, 2010
The G-20 nations held a special "emergency" meeting in Toronto during the weekend and promised to cut their deficits in half by 2013. The markets aren't buying it, by the fact that gold, the ultimate vote against big government, is rising again.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Jun 14, 2010
I have a special announcement at the end of this broadcast (see below).
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Jun 07, 2010
Last week, I met Warren Buffett, the worlds most successful investor, at Sing Sing penitentiary. (See photo.) The sage of Omaha was there to attend the Sing Sing graduation ceremony at the invitation of his sister, Doris, who is a big supporter of the privately funded college degree program. Jo Ann and I teach at Sing Sing as part of its four-year college degree program through Mercy College. She teaches English and I teach economics. The program is privately funded and has been so successful that it has attracted the interest of Mr. Buffett and a number of celebrities and Hollywood stars. (Ill have a full report on my interview with Mr. Buffett in the July issue of Forecasts & Strategies.)
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Jun 01, 2010
The negative news keeps pouring in -- euro hits new lows against the dollar, the BP oil spill wont be repaired until August (BP stock is down 12% today), summer jobs are disappearing fast (thanks to the new minimum wage law), foreclosures are at an all-time high, fear of a double-dip recession worldwide…
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted May 24, 2010
Negative news overwhelmed the markets last week and still weighs on the markets this week: The ongoing Greek tragedy and European socialist malaise that threatens the viability of the euro... the BP oil spill that has unleashed 6 million gallons into the Gulf with no end in sight... the passage of a massive new regulatory bill on banks and Wall Street (shades of Sarbanes-Oxley)... a new $600 reporting requirement that will cost small business billions... Congress even wants to impose price controls on ATM machines! When will this madness end?
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted May 17, 2010
Last week at the Las Vegas Money Show, I had dinner with one of the world's largest precious metals traders, and he told me that gold and silver were about to break out on the upside. He was right. Gold is now at a record $1,234 an ounce, and silver is more than $19 an ounce. He thinks gold could hit $1,500 and silver over $30.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted May 10, 2010
Theres an old saying on Wall Street: "Sell in May and go away." I suspect a lot of you felt that way after last week's stock market panic, causing most of our favorite stocks and income plays to fall by 10% or more... but this morning's big rebound has the markets making up some of last week's losses.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted May 03, 2010
Last week, I took a call from an old friend, Joe Bradley, the retired editor of Investor's Hotline, and he expressed dismay that with all the problems facing this nation (massive deficits, new taxes, new regs on Wall Street, expensive entitlements like ObamaCare, and the sovereign debt crisis in Greece), how could Wall Street keep moving higher? How could I be so upbeat and forecast 12,000 on the Dow this year?
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Apr 26, 2010
I just received an update on our entire Forecasts & Strategies portfolio, and we are beating the market by a substantial margin, with 21 out of 23 positions profitable.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Apr 23, 2010
I will be appearing tonight on PBS's "Nightly Business Report," giving a nationwide audience my outlook for Wall Street, politics and my favorite three stock picks.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Apr 19, 2010
Today is Patriot's Day (the official day the War of Independence started in 1775) and my 36th wedding anniversary. And we have plenty to celebrate here at Forecasts & Strategies.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Apr 12, 2010
Last week, I spoke at the Vancouver Money Show, and immediately felt a positive change in attitude. While there seems to be universal pessimism about the future of the United States, Canadians are upbeat about their nation, and not just because they won the gold medal in Olympic hockey. Unlike the United States, Canada has its act together. Its major banks did not fail during the financial crisis of 2008, and the Canadian dollar is now selling again at par against the U.S. dollar.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Apr 05, 2010
Dan Duncan, the genius behind Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD, $32, 6.5% yield), died last week at the age of 77. He built the countrys largest pipeline operation from scratch, and died a very wealthy man. But he also made his shareholders wealthy, too, and Enterprise Products has been a big winner for us.
Forecasts & Strategies
Posted Mar 29, 2010
Talk about March Madness! Last week, two major events took place, neither of them good...
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